Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.370276 0.431838 0.500653 0.583322 0.680006 0.789595 0.923369
2025-01-19 0.272422 0.352764 0.452531 0.585743 0.759337 0.978427 1.276822
2025-01-26 0.231169 0.321634 0.442392 0.615848 0.859490 1.190867 1.678138
2025-02-02 0.202800 0.299127 0.435504 0.643438 0.954018 1.403210 2.106808
2025-02-09 0.179283 0.278077 0.425224 0.661460 1.033617 1.601384 2.541079
2025-02-16 0.158210 0.256594 0.409889 0.667578 1.093305 1.774578 2.959279
2025-02-23 0.139203 0.235080 0.390698 0.663454 1.134006 1.920534 3.351503
2025-03-02 0.120835 0.211745 0.364922 0.643885 1.144669 2.015960 3.668630
2025-03-09 0.111829 0.202973 0.362107 0.662708 1.223226 2.236569 4.237082
2025-03-16 0.101626 0.190589 0.351153 0.664979 1.271316 2.407564 4.736460
2025-03-23 0.094183 0.182217 0.346199 0.677311 1.339121 2.622666 5.349795
2025-03-30 0.084888 0.169085 0.330621 0.666898 1.360778 2.750666 5.805447
2025-04-06 0.077001 0.157919 0.317833 0.661100 1.392466 2.905876 6.347813
2025-04-13 0.070943 0.149714 0.309973 0.664492 1.443998 3.109495 7.027173
2025-04-20 0.068458 0.148597 0.316376 0.698732 1.566045 3.478836 8.131224
2025-04-27 0.065860 0.146880 0.321239 0.730128 1.685905 3.859291 9.319255
2025-05-04 0.062562 0.143181 0.321305 0.750639 1.783528 4.202292 10.470672
2025-05-11 0.058547 0.137340 0.315865 0.757602 1.850045 4.481352 11.507313
2025-05-18 0.054122 0.129994 0.306090 0.752908 1.887550 4.695453 12.411552
2025-05-25 0.049030 0.120433 0.289992 0.730637 1.878157 4.792133 13.022492
2025-06-01 0.047038 0.118218 0.291247 0.752059 1.983499 5.194445 14.522961
2025-06-08 0.044141 0.113382 0.285482 0.754645 2.039671 5.476092 15.732528
2025-06-15 0.042083 0.110445 0.284136 0.768680 2.128580 5.857380 17.288089